Suburban Station wrote:When the keystone corridor received capital investment 8 pennsylvania to improve reliability and trip time the annual loss (before state subsidy) dropped from the 35 million or so to less than ten million. In other words, what would have cost the state 35 million cost the state 9 million. I cannot predict the impact exactly I suspect the same should happen when the new schedules are implemented on the st louis corridor.
Lots of big-time projects have to happen to make a real improvement in reliable timekeeping. For the employees' part, the jobs are already as tight as they can get without fouling federal HOS requirements. Like, you get your 8hrs off on paper (maybe a few mins more, if you happen to arrive in good shape), and that's it. The cafe attendants, not subject to HOS, have even more ridiculous schedules: to the point where several of them choose to forego the travel time to/from the hotel, and just sleep on the car. So additional savings aren't likely to be found in crew costs. Without super major mega-billion-dollar infrastucture improvements, they're simply not going to be able to speed things up enough to get a whole round-trip out of one crew.... at least not without paying overtime, and routinely risking dying on the law.
The best hope is to generate additional passenger revenue. This means raising prices, and/or improving reliability. So far timekeeping has not improved one bit since the "HSR" project started. That's no surprise, because there is more freight on the route than before (the only reason UP went along with the whole deal was so they could build their "Global 4" yard just south of Joliet, and have the state pay to improve the railroad for them). The passenger train schedules are surprisingly fragile, to the point where just one freight train meet (or, say, taking the slow "Hi Line" route out of St Louis, or taking a few cross traffic delays on the IC getting out of Chicago) can throw off all of your meets with the opposing passenger trains - potentially costing you up to 30+ more minutes of delays. Delays on flagging road crossings are common too - they are still having problems perfecting crossing timings almost 20 years after the first "high speed test trains" ran. (Long story behind that, and I don't even know 100% of the details, so I won't get into it.) The only real way to reliably run this service is to double track a good portion of it, and to get all of the PTC & signaling right. Well, now we know that there won't be money for all this, at least not for a good while longer.
It's kind of hard to speed up the schedules very much, when you're dealing with two congested freight terminal areas, and everything in-between is single track and sidings. Even with CTC it's still pretty poor. There's no point in running 110, and upgrading the sidings to 50, just to get to the stop signal at the other end of the siding that much faster, to sit and wait that much longer. Hopefully it will all come together a little better when the ITCS/speed upgrades are propagated over more of the route? It's going to be a long learning process for the crews and dispatchers, to figure out the new speeds and where the new meeting points should be.