dowlingm wrote:The assumption is that the only game in town once Amtrak completes the current lease is for BBD to reacquire them, refurb and attempt to send them back to Amtrak (at ludicrously favourable terms demanded by posters above), with maybe a few going MARCs way if they are happy with the refurbs and bump up the Penn Line electric service. Let's assume BBD don't sell MBTA on going electric, SEPTA is all good for power for the foreseeable, and MNRR don't bite at a MLVs+8s deal (especially given BBD's other issues in NY recently). What about large Bombardier customer NJT - could some potentially land there if they had an assurance that between their fleet and MARCs the pool of cars would be enough to generate a ready supply of parts?
BBD really has to be lucky with MARC on the HHP-8's, and so far so good. Since BBD also has that maintenance and operations contract w/MARC, it's a sure bet they're getting real-world data back on the MARC HHP-8's and the Bilevel coaches (the MARC IV's/NJTransit Multilevel IIs), and it's going back into improving the HHP-8's.
If...
- MARC stays neutral on Penn Line service (likely, since it's at capacity until more track is added)
- BBD fails on getting MBTA to go electric (likely, everyone's strapped for cash)
- SEPTA doesn't want 'em. (likely, they ordered 15 ACS-64's to replace their fleet of 7 AEM-7's and 1 ALP-44, and they also use EMUs)
- Metro North doesn't buy the Multi-levels/HHP-8s.
...would BBD be able to foist these onto NJ Transit? Maybe not -- NJT's got newer engines from BBD, a few ALP series engines, and a lot of diesel it still runs for at least five lines (possibly seven).
Without another option, I think these HHP-8's are destined for parts and scrap.