Gilbert B Norman wrote:Volks, I sincerely respect any member who holds the view that this is idle passenger rail equipment; and that stuff today is scarcer than hen's teeth.
Gilbert B Norman wrote:. . . Michigan is party to the 'Midwest bi-level' equipment order, which is a-building . . . and I'd like to think there is another three or so years of economic life to the Horizon fleet (they're really 'not all that bad').
The traveling public will also benefit as I can only consider the CHI-DET route (last rode during '12 to ARB) to be arduous - and Talgo equipment can shave time off existing schedules, hey, let's go for it. But what I think is being overlooked is that first Michigan has committed to sufficient equipment in the Midwest bi-level equipment order to meet their existing requirements . . .
Sorry. I don't think the current order for the Midwest bi-level equipment meets the existing requirements. At best the order should allow a one-for-one replacement of current passenger cars with new ones having roughly 30% more capacity.
Really? The schedule St Louis-Chicago will be cut by an hour or so, and we think 30% more seats will be enuff? Let me place a bet that demand will grow by MORE than 30% and will be managed down by significant price increases "reflecting the greater value of the faster trains."
Granted, St Louis-Chicago will be constrained because the State of Illinois negotiated a deal with UP for faster trains -- but not for more of them. You got four daily Lincoln service trains today, you gonna have four daily Lincoln service trains in 2017.
So far as I know, there is no contractual limitation on the number of Wolverine slots, on a route where again an hour and more is being taken out of the schedule, and where ridership could soar by more than 30%. Now most of the Pontiac-Detroit-Ann Arbor-Battle Creek-Kalamazoo-Chicago route is owned by Amtrak and MichiganDOT. They could find space on their own tracks for another train or three on the Wolverines route, if Chicago Union Station capacity issues and the bottleneck South of the Lake do not prevent more runs.
If MichDOT and Amtrak can squeeze even one more train into Chicago, they will need more equipment than the current order for Midwest bi-levels will provide. If MichDOT decides to run a train or two Lansing-Battle Creek-Ann Arbor-Kalamazoo-Dearborn-Detroit-Pontiac, or a second frequency of the Blue Water or Pere Marquette, it will need a lot more equipment than has been ordered from Nippon-Sharyu. Of course, if more frequencies are added, that will stimulate further increases in demand.
MichDOT may need every piece of equipment it can get its hands on, and I admire their effort to grab the unused Talgo trains for as long as they could be needed.