NH2060 wrote:theozno wrote:I just love how Connecticut can spend $500 million on a busway to nowhere (new Britian-Hartford) but we can't spend 5 (low estimate) to 50 (reality estimate) million a shuttle rail line from Brewster-Newtown to start with connecting busses. This would still be 10-100 times cheaper
I think the $50M figure would be the unrealistically low estimate. In between the structural integrity of some (if not all) of the bridges, the condition of the trackage itself throughout the entire route, and the fact that there is no direct connection to the Harlem Line at either Brewster or Southeast there would have to be a LOT of money spent for it to be used by passenger trains. Which is one big reason why such a service has no chance of making it past the study stage until the demand (if it ever exists in the future) is literally there in plain sight akin to the demand for a New Milford extension.
Yeah. Anything bouncing between Brewster and Danbury is so cosmically far below New Milford on the priorities list that it isn't worth consideration. New Milford is quite possibly the top-demand service extension in the whole state after NHHS. The recent study bore that out. US 7 is so awful north of I-84 that commuter rail with stops in Brookfield and New Milford is pretty much a must within 10 years or the chokepoints on the unimprovable roads will start limiting the economic viability of those areas.
Danbury-New Milford is the only part of the Berkshire Line in CT that HRCC owns. The rest to the state line was bought by CDOT years ago. It is quite likely that the state already has a game plan to pounce on a buy-low opportunity for that line, and for the Maybrook where P&W quite badly wants a functioning, aggravation-free Derby-Danbury jaunt for the Danbury stone train instead of having to swim against MNRR traffic. This is a scenario where when HRCC stops asking too much, CDOT money will magically appear to secure public ownership of the NM commuter rail ROW and P&W's preferred freight route. Those both meet the standard of key assets. If that happens the Danbury-state line portion of the Maybrook will probably get thrown into the sale, since it's by far the least valuable of HRCC's private holdings. That opens up no new passenger opportunities for the foreseeable future, but it does allow for MNRR to dispatch their own emergency moves if that's inserted as a contingency in the deal. Which is useful enough for their current needs.
I suspect HRCC is still asking for a laughably high price, but who knows if they're even solvent so that can change at a moment's notice. It's a good bet though that those privately-owned route miles will be under public control within a few years even if the carrier itself is still malingering along. CDOT wants the assets. And having the assets is leverage to make HRCC behave better (esp. with P&W, who nearly got lawsuit-y with them over Maybrook track conditions) for as long as all parties are stuck with them.