by Woody
Tadman wrote:. . . worth noting - ABQ-LAQ and CHI-Wichita both are above the 700-mile threshold for long distance federal support. Perhaps it's worth having two trains?Amtrak likes to have its LD trains run from one maintenance base to another. So L.A., Emeryville, Seattle, Chicago, New Orleans, Miami, Sanford, D.C., NYC, Boston are the usual end points. Amtrak wouldn't like to leave a train stuck in ABQ when it has a problem. (Exceptions to every rule, e.g. Savannah.)
Generally, a kind of planetary gravitational pull seems at work -- the biggest planets like Jupiter, NYC, Saturn, and Chicago attract the most moons and passengers. But there is considerable traffic in the middle. Chicago-L.A. is the most lucrative, and Chicago-Flagstaff the third best city pair ranked by revenue. ABQ-Chicago and Kansas City-L.A. are the 5th and 6th highest city pairs of the Southwest Chief by revenue, with Chicago-Kingman, AZ and Chicago-Fullerton, CA coming in 8th and 9th. That kind of business would disappear if the thru route were severed.
That said, the Chief is very weak in the midpoints. Even the forlorn Sunset Ltd has five population centers of a million or so between the end points: Houston, San Antonio, El Paso, Tucson, [Mariposa standing for] Phoenix. The Chief has just the two. And yet it performs about as well as other similar trains.
I always maintain that the cure for what ails Amtrak is more Amtrak: more equipment, more frequencies, more trains, more connections. So I'm intrigued by the suggestion of adding complementary trains down the line. So a second train from L.A. serving the small cities and tourist centers of Northern AZ and ABQ, then taking the "other route" to Kansas City and Chicago, whether the "other route" would be the Transcon or the Chief's current route. And perhaps a Heartland Flyer from Chicago to San Antonio or Houston or New Orleans, overlapping the Chief from Chicago to Wichita.
But unless we see Howard Johnson's, K-Mart, and Blockbuster as models of success, cutbacks and retrenching usually don't work as a business strategy nearly as well as growing out of a problem does.