EJ&ESDM809 wrote:I'm willing to bet it is going to be many more years before work to realign the tracks actually begins.
With the study not being complete until September 2012 and NO MONEY to go forward with any actual construction I doubt the 2015 deadline will be met.
A best case scenario would be that the construction funds be granted on a provisional basis. But that is a blank check and I don't see NICTD getting any money until the cost is known. The cost won't be known until the route is chosen. The route won't be chosen until the study is complete. If NICTD can bank some money so they can be ready to buy whatever property is needed as soon as approval is granted that might speed up the process some.
The outcome of this study (in September 2012) will be a route. Unless NICTD works ahead and has provisional design plans for the route that wins there will be a further delay while that design work is done. Would it be financially responsible for NICTD to spend money on design plans for a route that may not be chosen?
So in September 2012 they get a green light ... would construction be able to begin in 2013? Only if funded. And only if they can get the property in time to begin construction. I expect there will be a few holdouts, perhaps even a lawsuit over the process or property values. If all the properties in the path are owned (or have ROW easements in place) by the end of 2013 I'll be surprised. September 2012 will be more of an approach signal than a clear.
How fast can two miles of urban railroad be completed (including razing buildings and building a new ROW)? If it were all cornfields it would be easy ... but clear out the buildings, wait for the utilities to be relocated then start building a ROW from scratch? That is not quick.
December 2015? They might make it ... but I'm not counting on it. At least they will be far enough along that they should be able to get a waiver from the FRA by showing progress.