Jersey_Mike wrote:... To spend millions or dollars on upgrades to shave 3 minutes off of what is basically a commuter line is a waste of money that could be better spent on increasing speeds on the plethora of 60mph lines that Amtrak currently has to deal with or even better to expand Amtrak or other rail service to where it currently doesn't exist.
So far, ridership has responded well to the improvements that have already been made so I'm not sure why that wouldn't continue. the minutes saved may now be smaller, but every minute saved makes it that much faster than driving. At 95 minutes frm harrisburg, it makes some sense to take the train. at 80 minutes it's MUCH faster than driving. same with lancaster, at 70 minutes that's great, at 55 min, why drive?
It's called opportunity cost. Apply the money to where it will do the most good. Even within the state of PA you'd get more cars off the road with an R3 extension than with a 5 minute speed improvement on the Harrisburg Line.
I think Jersey Mike is on to something here with the focus on opportunity cost. The goal here is maximizing mobility for Pennsylvanians per dollar spent, and it's wasteful (and would be appropriately called "pork") to upgrade the Keystone to 125mph *if* it could be shown that 110mph might be fast enough for the line itself, and a bigger/cheaper source of new Keystone patrons might actually come from a better feeder network from Altoona, Lewiston, State College, Carlisle, and Chambersburg....and the feeder service might be trains, they might be on upgraded rail lines, or the feeders might even be operated by <shudder> a bus, and all have the potential to outperform 125mph running on a investment-per-new-passenger basis.
We're seeing something like this play out in Virginia, where extending just NEC two (non-electric) trains a day to Lynchburg (that offer one-seat rides to Boston) have been highly profitable (in part in their own right and in part by freeing up space on long-distance trains). Initial indications that new (non-Amtrak) connecting bus service from Roanoke and Blackburg (Virginia Tech) will add a lot of train passengers too. These new riders came not from upgrading the NEC under the catenary, but from extensions of non-electric service and from bus feeders.
It may be the way to add Keystone corridor riders is to make investments elsewhere in the Pennsylvania network, or even to extend Keystone trains in interesting directions on the other side of PHL, and not from raising speeds between HBG and PHL.