frequentflyer wrote:I think this development accelerates the Victorville to LA link with CHSR. I would not doubt it if this team has met with California state congressmen, and the California DC caucus to get some fed money by hook or by crook into getting through the Gabriel mountains by throwing money at UP and BNSF or making their own line to San Bernadino and connecting with BNSF or UP to downtown.
I don't think the Brightline folks will spend nearly $11 Bullion for the tunnels between Victorville and San Bernardino, nor between Palmdale and Los Angeles. The 187 miles or so in the high desert between Victorville and Las Vegas is projected to cost around $7 Billion. CHSR latest projected costs for the Burbank to Palmdale section of the route, only 40 miles or so in length, is $10.6 Billion. No, the government subsidized CHSR is going to have to pick up those high tunneling costs.
Maybe Brightline is looking at adding tracks to the railroad line Metrolink uses between Burbank and Palmdale, or adding another track between Victorville and San Bernardino, and running at 60-79 mph speeds from either Palmdale or Victorville into Los Angeles. Adding another hour or two to the overall hour and a half trip time to Las Vegas from Victorville. Taking twice as much time over 80 miles as they will take over 187 miles....
If they're going to use 125 mph max speed trains, that increases those chances. If they're still looking at using faster than 125 mph HSR trains, which need to run over their own dedicated corridor - or make significant changes to the existing corridors - that decreases those chances.
Caltrain owns the corridor into San Francisco, UP and BNSF owns the rail corridors into Los Angeles. They will not be as compromising as Caltrain was in allowing electric catenary wires over them.
The problem going to Victorville via San Bernardino from Los Angeles is running significantly more passenger trains through the existing tunnels, and very high costs to build a new corridor with private financing.
The problem going to Victorville via Palmdale from Los Angeles is running new HSR trains on existing tracks, and the unknown time period when the new CHSR tunnels will be built - if it ever gets built - becuase of its huge costs to build.
By the time Brightline has trains running to Las Vegas from Victorville, it'll probably be fast approaching $10 Billion in capital costs - operating costs - and Station costs. Construction on 38 acres can in Las Vegas can consume money fast - but no where near as fast as tunnels in California.