I can't think of any single improvement Amtrak could make to their Florida trains that would make a bigger difference to their viability for in-state business and leisure travel than the addition of a 6:30pm departure in both directions between Miami and Orlando.
Why 6:30pm?
- It's late enough to travel after working a normal day at the office. In Dade County, it can EASILY take an hour to get from many parts of the metro area to the nearest Amtrak station. I'd grudgingly agree to 6:15pm, but would argue that any departure time before 6pm would be a grave mistake.
- With 5 to 5-1/2 hour travel times between Orlando and Miami, 6:30pm is still early enough to arrive by midnight.
- Those same 5 to 5-1/2 hour travel times make morning departures in time for noon events impossible. Morning travel between Miami and Orlando won't be viable unless/until travel time can be decreased to 4 hours or less. There's abundant evidence that intercity trains (and planes, for that matter) that run before 6:30am almost always have more crew members than actual, revenue-generating passengers.
Strategy: Amtrak allocates one new trainset, and wrings another 5 hours of revenue service from 91/92's train with a second Miami-based crew to produce the following new schedule (new trains in
italics):
Miami-Orlando:
- 98, 8:40am-1:43pm (continues to Jacksonville & NYC)
- "94", 11:55am-5pm (the new trainset's first trip of the day)
- 92, 11:50am-7:08pm (via Tampa, continues to JAX & NYC)
- "96", 6:30pm-11:30pm (arrived in Miami as 91, deadheads back to Miami between midnight and 6am)
Orlando-Miami:
- 91, 10:31am-6:05pm (via Tampa, continues as 96 after this trip)
- 97, 1:10pm-6:55pm
- "95", 6:30pm-11:30pm (the new trainset's second trip of the day)
Since the total round trip for 91/92's "second job" would be less than 12 hours, a single crew boarding and based in Miami could handle the entire trip. If it left Orlando at midnight and took its time returning to Miami (say, 6 hours with delays from night CSX activity), it would still arrive by 6am, and have almost 6 hours for cleaning and maintenance before it was scheduled to depart for Tampa, Orlando, and New York at 11:50am as 92.
Another possibility: if Amtrak has at least one spare trainset in Hialeah that's equivalent to 91/92 and 97/98, they could just rotate all three trainsets each time they arrive:
- The trainset that arrived at 6:55pm the previous day as "97" would depart the following morning as "92".
- The spare would depart the next morning as "98".
- The trainset that arrived at 6:15pm the previous day as "91", and made a trip to Orlando and back as "96", would become the new spare for the next 24 hours until the next "91/92/96" trainset arrived the next day to take its place.
If Amtrak normally doesn't do maintenance work overnight, the added night trip wouldn't even have much effect on their workflow, because the extra trip would take place at a time when the trainset would have just been sitting idle on the siding overnight anyway.
The fuel for the return trip would be an added cost, of course, but I'm assuming that the fuel cost is nothing compared to the short-term capital cost of buying another trainset for several million dollars. Ditto for the rest of the crew's labor costs. Even if they're making $50/hour, it's pocket change compared to just the monthly interest that would accrue on a $5-20 million trainset. Also, I firmly believe that this 6:30pm train would be exceptionally popular with "locals" who live in Miami/Orlando and have normal jobs.
As much as I'd love to add a new pair of trains between Tampa and Miami making daily outbound trips at 10:30am and return trips at 6:30pm, it would require two more trainsets to cover the 6:30pm departure time, and I suspect CSX would balk at the prospect of adding four more trains between Tampa & Auburndale. CSX couldn't REFUSE to let Amtrak run the trains... but it could certainly "de-prioritize" the trains often enough to delay them into uselessness and make its displeasure known. By the same token, I wouldn't bother with additional non-HSR trains between Orlando and Tampa. IMHO, if Amtrak is going to risk the wrath of CSX by running more trains between Tampa & Auburndale, they should at least do it for something that's
worth it.
Who knows... there might even
be a market for midnight-6am trains between Orlando and Miami after all to reduce some of the deadhead costs. I'm sure there's not enough business to justify an intentional midnight train south, but if it's running back empty *anyway*, it might be worth experimenting with weekend "midnight madness" for a few months between March and July to see whether they ended up selling enough tickets to merit the added hassle of cleaning around the late-night passengers. Since the "Miami midnight train" would be mostly empty anyway, they could dispense with checked baggage (carry on your own luggage & just pile it up on the seat next to yours) and leave the stations along the way to Miami closed. If there are a few dozen people in the coach, it doesn't seem like it would be a huge imposition to have the attendant handle the snackbar food service on demand, too. As long as it's made clear that the service is purely secondary, I suspect that the few people who'd use it would mainly just be glad that it existed at all... if only because lots of them would probably be people who ended up missing the 6:30pm train, and
really need to get home to go to work tomorrow
Alternatively, if the "96" train doesn't absolutely HAVE to be back in Miami in time to head north at 11:50am, instead of deadheading, it could just overnight in Orlando, and depart for Miami at some point between 9am and 10:30am (it wouldn't be duplicating the 91 train, because 91 takes a 3-hour detour to Tampa along the way to Miami. This train would go straight to Miami.)
As it stands, I'd personally use it to travel from Hollywood to Orlando *at least* 6-8 times per year. Right now, I usually break down and take a Friday off from work and endure having to rush lunch and leave early on Sunday for the sake of being able to take the train, but most of the time I just end up driving. Of those 6-8 trips I'd take if 6:30pm trains existed, at least 3 or 4 of them would be trips I
don't take now, just because I passionately hate driving to Orlando.