SouthernRailway wrote:I took the Shuttle train today for the first time, between New Haven and Windsor Locks. It was a 2-car train and only 1 car was open. Ridership between New Haven and Hartford seems to be higher than north of Hartford. In my view having 30+ trains a day seems a bit much, based on the ridership level that I saw. I'd think that 2-car EMU sets every hour (and more during rush hours) would be the most that this line could handle (and I mean EMU, not diesel- this line should be electrified).
I assume that Amtrak would continue to serve the line once the commuter trains start, but that much service just seems excessive. Remember Independence Air- hourly service to cities all around the East and Southeast? It was too much service, and it went under.
They'll be running it with the current SLE diesel fleet, which will be displaced by then. So that's probably going to mean 3-4 car trains.
The Shuttle only has subsistence-level usefulness: 4 daily round-trips at the quasi-discounted Amtrak "commuter" fare. And it still did 380,000 passengers last year. The demand is well-studied. Hit a useful minimum of runs at real commuter fares, line up the last-mile connections from the stations, and this is about as good a bet for a success as there is for new service in the region. I do think 30 trains a day is a lot further off than they think it's going to be, but moreso because of capital costs for new equipment and congestion mitigation in grade crossing hell. But the initial start (pending completion of all the infill stops) is equivalent to today's SLE schedule and that's eminently appropriate for a much denser corridor with 3 big-city downtowns + Bradley access that beats the hell out of braving I-91 from anywhere south of Hartford. I mean, people have to be patient...it's not going to smash records in Year 1 because the corridor was not as acclimated to conveniently frequent trains as the Shoreline was when SLE opened. But 5 years?...yeah, I think they'll be outstripping the capacity of the available coach supply, will have to add a number of runs, will probably be exploring alt routing options, and may be getting some agitation from the towns for more infill stops.