arrow wrote:Terrapin,
The PA-4s are not going to be replaced by the PA-5s, only the PA-1, PA-2, and PA-3 cars. The older cars are showing their age, although they appear to have been well maintained over the years.
What do you mean by not going to replace? Do you mean that:
1. the combination of the PA-4 cars plus the PA-5 cars will result in a permanent increase in the fleet size, and that when the PA-4 cars finally do need to be retired, they will have to order additional cars? or,
2. the combination of the PA-4 cars plus the PA-5 cars will result in a temporary increase in the fleet size, and that when the PA-4 cars finally do need to be retired, they will not have to order additional cars?
And which ever of the above you mean, my proof for saying that it seems the PA-4 cars will be taken out of service once all of the PA-5 cars have arrived come from sections of
this press release that I will quote below:
The Board, acting as the PATH Board of Directors, authorized the award of a $499 million contract to Kawasaki Rail Car Inc. to design and build 340 new PATH rail cars. The new cars will replace the system’s fleet, which averages 33 years of age and is the oldest in the nation. The cars will be assembled at the company’s Yonkers, N.Y., plant.
There seems to be slightly less than 340 cars in the entire revenue PATH fleet today, so they seem to be saying they are replacing every current car. And the avg fleet age of 33 years includes the PA-4 cars (I just did the math). If they weren't going to replace the PA-4 cars, they could have left them out of the equation, and ended up with an even larger average age, which would have looked good for them. So right there are two reason that seem to show that the PA-4 cars will be replaced by the PA-5 cars. Going on:
The Port Authority expects to have the first of the new PATH cars in service in late 2008. The entire fleet will be replaced by 2011.
Again, they say the entire fleet will be replaced by 2011. Seems to say only the new PA-5 cars will be running in 2011.
Further proof comes from this
earlier press release.
The request for proposals calls for the design and fabrication of 246 new rail cars. As part of their proposal, contractors also were required to submit alternate bids for the rehabilitation or replacement of an additional 94 cars.
There are around 94 PA-4 cars. It seems they were considering either rehabbing the PA-4 cars (probably in order to be compatible with the PA-5 fleet, run along side them for many more years, and to take advantage of the new signal system they are considering installing, because without those reasons, the PA-4 cars don't need to be rehabbed) or replacing them totally with PA-5 cars. And the recent news shows that they chose the latter, and as such, seems that the PA-4 cars will not be able to run with and along side the PA-5 cars.
As I've shown, I'm basing my conclusions on what has been publicly said by PATH, even though it flies in the face of reason that the PA-4 cars should be able to "last" well beyond 2011. If you have inside or otherwise very specific, reliable information that says the PA-4 cars will run after 2011, please say so, and then I will consider your opinions much more than if you are just basing them on the fact that the PA-4 cars run fine and will only be 25 years old in 2011.