Gilbert B Norman wrote: ↑Sun Dec 31, 2023 9:22 am
But I'm afraid that history has shown this to be the case, even if so much of the Northern tier lacks competitive rail service.
This is one of those myths that (evidently) tend to be repeated over and over with the hope that doing so will make it true. It isn’t. “So much” is relative. But most of the states in the “Northern Tier” indeed have competition to BNSF with UP and CPKC/UP. Montana has little competition, but this is hardly an anomaly. Other examples are Southern Idaho, almost all of Nevada, all of Florida except the east coast, and the metro areas of Nashville, San Diego, and Tucson, most of which with much larger populations than Montana. It can also be said that rail competition is poor in South Dakota, but this also is rarely mentioned because the primary rail routes are ex-Milwaukee Road.
It should also be noted that the mere presence of more than one railroad does not constitute “competition.” If the Milwaukee really was competitive with its competitors, it would have (as the competitors did) had the financial wherewithal to upgrade its infrastructure and safety appliances. That never happened.
Gilbert B Norman wrote: ↑Sun Dec 31, 2023 9:22 am
But I do take heart in that so much of what remains of the MILW is a vital part of the CPKC system.
It must be noted, however, that the link between the primary routes of the ex-CP and ex-KCS is a weak one: The ex-MILW route to Kansas City, clearly the inferior route between Kansas City and Minneapolis or Kansas City and Chicago due to profile and circuity. This, coupled with KCS’s meandering route through Texas (including trackage rights on UP through the busy Houston Terminal) creates a Laredo (TX)-Chicago routing 25% longer and with a much more challenging profile than Union Pacific. And (unlike UP and BNSF), zero alternate routing options. We'll see how Mr. Creel's much-touted "single line" route fares against much-superior competitors.
--Mark Meyer (Mr. Norman: I know you'd have been disappointed had I not responded)