2nd trick op--
"the J-1 Texas (2-10-4) locomotives, the only really successful class of later PRR steam power, did not feature a Belpaire" Yes-- and the one complaint about the J-1 that I recall seeing was that they had staybolt problems! This is weak evidence (after all, the problems could have been caused by lots of different factors), but a BIT of evidence, that ONE advantage of the Belpaire firebox design was lower-maintenance staybolts.
Whatever the advantages/disadvantages were, they don't seem to have impressed the railroad world as overwhelming: different railroads around the world preferred Belpaire or roundtop fireboxes apparently at random. Some pre-nationalization railways in Great Britain preferred Belpaire (notably the Great Western), others roundtop (notably the London and Northeastern Railway). Belpaire was adopted as standard on the steam designs for new construction by British Railways after nationalization.
Weird sidelight: the Victorian Railways (Australia) R-class, some of which are still serviceable for excursions and were used on "plandampf" Melbourne-Warnambool trains until a few years ago, are 4-6-4 but have Belpaire boilers: to an American eye, there is something disorientingly weird about seeing a Hudson with a Belpaire boiler!