Discussion relating to the operations of MTA MetroNorth Railroad including west of Hudson operations and discussion of CtDOT sponsored rail operations such as Shore Line East and the Springfield to New Haven Hartford Line

Moderators: GirlOnTheTrain, nomis, FL9AC, Jeff Smith

  by N4J
I'll post my ridership predictions , i take into account the TOD proposed around the stations , Job hubs and extensions and infill stations...I honestly think i'm right on the mark...not to high with any , might be below on some...

New Haven line : 116,000 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 180,000

New Canaan Branch : 3,600 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 6,500

Danbury Branch : 1,500 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 8,300

Waterbury Branch : 500 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 2,800

Hudson line : 47,000 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 60,000

Harlem line : 53,000 (2010) > 2030 Ridership : 90,000
  by Tommy Meehan
Nexis I don't know where you got these 2010 figures. For weekday ridership, right?

But I think the Harlem / Hudson figures are off.

I don't have daily ridership figures but the MTA's own figures for total ridership in 2010 breaks down to about-

New Haven 48%
Harlem Line 32%
Hudson Line 20%

What might be more interesting -- if you can find them -- would be to compare current ridership with what it was twenty years in the past. 2010 vs. 1990.
  by Tommy Meehan
The figures for the 1st Qtr 2012 are out and Metro-North is STILL in the lead.

For the first three months of 2012 MNR carried 20.1 million riders (that includes 400,000 West of Hudson riders) versus 19.9 million riders on the LIRR.

The Long Island may be catching up however. Their ridership has shown steady increases for seven consecutive months and their 1st Qtr 2012 ridership is 5.2% higher than 2011's 1st Qtr.. Meanwhile Metro-North 1st Qtr ridership is 4.5% above 2011's. Each monthly percentage point translates to about 70,000 riders.

Below is a link to the MNR/LIRR Committee May 2012 Report. The figures can be found on page 182 (Metro-North) and page 230 (LIRR).

http://www.mta.info/mta/news/books/pdf/ ... _MNRLI.pdf