I have been pondering for some time now what will replace DCC? You really can't go to any hobby shop and not see on the locomotive box "dcc quick plug equipped, DCC ready or w/DCC/sound". Since its introduction in 1989 do you all think DCC will eventually be replaced? If so, what would replace it? What new innovations could come to our hobby in terms of running trains?
I think that the key to answering this question is presented within it.
After 25 years DCC has failed to take over from DC, about half of all hobbyists still sticking with the old system. Thus, most of today's new locomotives still either come "DCC ready" or are "dual mode", not DCC only. The fact is that many established hobbyists are unwilling, or just plain uninterested, in switching over to a totally different operating system and, after early attempts by the manufactures to force otherwise found their customers responding by closing their wallets, simply gave in.
The hobby has shrunken too far today for anyone to seriously attempt to institute yet another alien operating system with any real hopes of it becoming a standard. Yes, there certainly will be those that in the near, or more distant, future who will transition to on-board battery power, radio control, perhaps something even more exotic, but I absolutely believe that such will be incapable of making a sufficient impact to ever overcome, or even seriously compete with, the two current mainstays.
CNJ999