Jackinbox1 wrote:Eastern Packaging,
Eastern Packaging
was the last customer. They were getting carloads once a month...or less...before they gave up their rail service from too little volume. The final abandonment happened because Eastern couldn't make dollars and sense out of continuing.
Dodge grain,
Derry feed and supply co.
And how much feed moves by rail in this region? Those are both
tiny businesses that don't move anywhere close to the volume to get regular carloads. Dodge Grain was an Agway when it last received rail service. Agway as a national chain does tend to use rail more often than other similar businesses despite the small size of their stores, but they're a national chain with the scale to pile up carloads aggregately. Local feed companies in New England are orders of magnitude too small to make it work for them.
sulzer Mixpac USA
Very small. They share a former coiled steel customer's building half-and-half with a Budget rental truck depot. Would they even be able to store 2 cars worth of goods onsite? Would they request cars more than once every 2 months?
Cyr Lumber
It was a Grossman's when it received rail service. Grossman's as national chain used to do quite a bit of carloads. Cyr didn't exist when the line was abandoned. If Cyr really wanted rail service that badly they'd be 6 miles east in Plaistow instead.
Granite Industrial gases Inc.
A two-bay warehouse with parking for less than a dozen trucks is going to clamor for rail service? How often...4 cars quarterly?
Kamko supply.
Wallboard supply.
Again with the small non-chain warehouses. Home Depot's distribution center gets drywall delivered on CSX centerbeams 3 times a week. This is another one of those zits on a map that can't physically take more than a couple carloads per month.
Plus, a whole bunch of industry northeast of the airport.
The next-to-last segment abandoned, because all that "whole bunch of industry" voluntarily stopped shipping by rail.
Salem said it would zone rail-liking industrial along the corridor if rail returns.
For what? More of the above...companies way too small to take more than 2-4 cars once every several weeks? That's what the M&L was in its final years...unreliable little blips that took a carload then went silent for months. Until they couldn't make the rates for that infrequent a service work for them and switched to truck. Those are exactly the businesses that should be going by truck, because if you can't muster a regular schedule of consistent carloads there's virtually zero cost advantage to shipping by rail. Their "rail" discount comes from transloading out of a yard, not door-to-door. There are nearby yards in Lawrence, Manchester, and Nashua in easy highway reach where the little blips on the map could make way better margins transloading out of rather than paying for their own sidings that may only get used a half-dozen times a year. The economics of rail are not switching back to the bygone days of mom-n'-pops taking 2 carloads of widget parts one week and sending out a carload of finished widgets the next week. Those shipping rates do not work for customers that small, much less those microscopic profit margins for profit-seeking railroads (yes, even the shortlines).
You haven't listed any realistic forward possibilities that fit 21st century freight rail economics and where they're trending...just a backwards-reflecting rehash of what killed the M&L in the first place. If there's freight on that line, it won't be because the little blips on the map sprouted sidings like it was 1965 all over again. Big customers...anchor customers...multi-day-per-week customers: where are those customers? And don't say north of the airport, because Manchester Yard is choked in weeds and rarely has more than a couple cars in it at a time. If there was demand up there, they'd be transloading today in the active yard...agitating for their own sidings after a dozen years of transloading in the yard.
Passenger service...OK, that's one thing. A deep-future thing. But you're kidding yourself if you think this line is going to be dotted end-to-end with thriving freight. It was dotted end-to-end. The dots went away or went with the more economical mode of shipping for modest scale. If the line gets reanimated for passenger and a freight customer happens to pop up...it's serendipitous. But most likely you'll get what's on the MBTA's Greenbush, Plymouth, and Newburyport Lines post-reanimation: no customers, and not even any freight carriers bidding for rights because there are no customers.