tappermonk wrote:If in fact Pam Am needed to look at more power, do you think it would be more SD40-2s?
Personally, and this is speaking without regular access to the company's strategic thinking, it seems very likely indeed that they will continue to lease more SD40-2s. Company policy has almost always been to achieve fleet uniformity to whatever extent possible. This goes back even to the MEC/B&M days (but especially MEC) both of which liked to limit the number of main line locomotive types in service on their system at any given time.
tappermonk wrote:Or do you think they would be willing to purchase new locomotives? If this was to be true anyone willing to speculate what they would purchase for locomotive power?
Previous discussion seems to have all but ruled out new acquisitions and I happen to think this is reasonable.
On the other hand if profits continue to climb I have to believe that we could see a shift in fleet strategy as the company finds themselves with more capital on hand. Leasing motive power points to two particular concerns, a) that the traffic could disappear and b) that PAR needs to invest their capital in their physical plant and not their motive power fleet. This shift could take a very long time to develop since concern b) in particular is highly unlikely to change for about the next 10 years. That's how long, at the current pace, I think it's going to take PAR to modernize their system to the satisfaction of current and future demand. There's is going to be
a lot of trackwork over the next decade and it will cover most if not all of PARs main line system and some of the branches as well.
Motive power needs can be easily fulfilled by leasing units. What can't be so easily fulfilled is the addition of necessary crews to run the trains. Other support staff and support facilities may also be needed. We could very well see some significant renovations in Waterville to ensure the that backshop forces are able to maintain the motive power fleet. Or at a minimum Waterville could end up having some very robust staffing, e.g. multiple shifts and potentially even 7 days operations (if that isn't the case already). For the moment I'm certainly not under the impression that mechanical shop forces in Waterville are all that plentiful at all. I know next to nothing about maintenance facilities in District 3 and their attendant capabilities. I'm sure they have them at either Ayer or East Deefield (or perhaps even Billerica?) but I have no idea how much capacity they have to service all of the new power.