njtmnrrbuff wrote: ↑Wed Jun 16, 2021 10:40 amThe number of trains being diverted from GCT to NYP is far from a few. 108 trains a day is a lot to be diverted and for very good reason. People who live in Co-op, Morris Park, Parkchester, and Hunts Point will be very happy to have as much MNR rail service as the people living in the Central, North, and West Bronx. Yes, I am worried about the capacity constraints at CP216 with many of the trains getting diverted to NYP from NYG. Something tells me that during many times of the day each day, there will be two MNR trains an hour each way serving the East Bronx and the rush hour-it will probably be more like three to four. I could be wrong about this but during off peak hours and weekends, I could see a train running only between NYP and New Rochelle as well as a NYP-Stamford local during an hour timeblock.
The way I read it more than half are diversions, which to be fair is more than a few, I didn't word that well, but some appear to be new service as well, increasing the total load on SHELL. I wonder what the actual demand will look like? My bet is that over time as people move and get new jobs, the demand will go up significantly, even if it's soft at start. I don't know how that translates to capacity versus schedule considerations of running express and local service on the line versus running everything as a local for those four stations, sort of like Harlem-125th.
Do we know if SHELL is the limiting factor for service, or if Penn and HAROLD are the limiting factors? SHELL is a weird arrangement, but in raw volume, I don't think it's anywhere close to CP5 or WEST END, both of which are at grade. Not to mention oddballs like the Raritan Line snaking across HUNTER and CLIFF.
Not all slots have to be consumed, but I wonder if anything is going to consume some or all of the slots on the Hudson Line between CP5 and CP1 that the NHL will be diverting to Penn.