Many years fo watching the rail industy lead me to conclude that the entire excercise in this thread is meaningless. The freight roads gave up on short distance passengeer traffic, with the excepton of commuters, as soon as the affordability of automobiles for the middle class became evident. By 1960, improvements on all fronts in the airline industry put the writing on the wall for long distance.
What emerged with Amtrak was little more than a preserved anachronism, created as "middle class welfare": aimed at the mosrly-elederly, non-driving, reluctant-to-fly crowd. Released from the automatic discipline of the market, the bureaucracy was free to redesign what was left into something that resmbled the streamliners of the immediate past, but had no hope of full recovery of costs, since the "head-end" revenue of that day was gone.
If anone out there can explain to me how this overgrown Lionel Set, staffed by protected employees who don't have to answer to the laws of supply ansd demand. and operated over (and occasionally in conflict with) a system that has to provide much of the physical plant, I'll be waiting. I expect to wait for a long time.....
But having outlinrd that poiint, I don't expect all passenger service outside the mass-transit market to disppear either. The econmic forces which made traditional passenger dervice obsolete are now inveighing just as forcefully against the casual use of private autos over longer distances. The practice of runnig up several hundered miles per week on one's personal "wheels" is getting very expensive.
And for a lot of us, probably the majority, the responsibility for developing alternatives/successors to the urbanized, auto-centric lifestylr must, almost by definition, lie within the public sectoer. While a basic knowledge of the workings of, and necessity for, a largely-privatized economy has advanced greatly since the 1930's, a substantial portion of the electorate still doesn't grasp even the basics. When the facilities themseves are both costly and immovable, and are often located in territory traditionally viewd as politicall hostile, privatte financing isn't likey to be forthcoming. So we're stuck with, at best, a shaky partnership subject to the fickle winds of politics.
What a revoltin' development this is! (William Bendix)