SouthernRailway wrote: ↑Mon Feb 24, 2020 7:23 pmSo railroads lost money on passenger trains for nearly 50 years before Amtrak.
This conclusion is so generalized as to be meaningless. I could also say, "railroads made money on passenger trains until right before Amtrak." Technically, I would be correct because of the Seaboard and perhaps one or two other outliers. Your statement is in this case correct to an extent but certainly far more so in 1969 than in 1929.
The simple reason why Amtrak wasn't created in the 1950s is because the extent of the losses was treated differently by the railroads. For some the mail and express contracts were considered ample justification to continue service and provide a public convenience. Others had such extensive commuting operations that discontinuance was politically impossible. Boston & Maine comes to mind in this example.
Others treated passenger service as a prestige operation. ATSF was by far the best example of this approach. The Southern was another with the Illinois Central and Kansas City Southern a distant third and fourth.
Seaboard and Atlantic Coast Line
clearly were making big money on the Florida services with the RF&P a secondary beneficiary.
Regardless of the corporate reasoning to keep running in the 50s by the mid 60s the losses had in fact become so big that the railroads had no choice whatsoever no matter how committed they were to the operation.
The two big exceptions among the railroads that did not join Amtrak, Southern and the Denver Rio Grande and Western, did so only because their accountants told them it was cheaper to stay out. Of course this was merely a fluke in Amtrak's member railroad formula as opposed to any indication of profitability for their passenger trains.
So, to be fair, not every railroad was ready to throw in the towel at the same time. They each arrived at their own conclusions at different times for different reasons. In some cases after multi year marketing efforts were undertaken to save the services. Reistrup at the B&O in the early 60s is considered a textbook example of an attempt at "salvation".
Maine Central took a completely different approach, paring back operations until they were able to file for discontinuance as an
intra state carrier. They managed to terminate everything by Labor Day weekend of 1960. This made the MEC among the very earliest Class I carriers to terminate all passenger rail service in the postwar era.
In order for Amtrak to have been created in time for this event Congress would have had to take up the question in 1958, pass legislation at some point in 1959 and get Amtrak ready for operations by late August 1960.
To give one a sense of just how absurd a proposition that is it's worth noting that in 1957 the B&O has just finished
reequipping the
National Limited with streamlined sleeper cars. The B&O along with others had yet to really see the darkness that was just over the horizon.
Even the mere occurrence of a thought of terminating all passenger service, let alone the quantum leap of establishing a government owned carrier, would not even be a twinkle in most of their eyes on New Year's Eve 1959.