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Re: Will They Ever Return?

 by Arlington ¦  Mon Nov 20, 2023 3:43 pm ¦  Forum: General Discussion - Passenger Rail: High Speed and Heavy and Light Rail Systems ¦  Topic: Will They Ever Return? ¦  Replies: 416 ¦  Views: 42848

Will they ever return? is a forecasting problem. Forecasts of human behavior, like whether and how to commute involve understanding human choices. Ridership isn't like radioactive decay--purely a question of time and randomness, it is a question of: Demand - Need to go to a place ON transit, classic...

Re: Will They Ever Return?

 by Arlington ¦  Sat Nov 18, 2023 9:27 am ¦  Forum: General Discussion - Passenger Rail: High Speed and Heavy and Light Rail Systems ¦  Topic: Will They Ever Return? ¦  Replies: 416 ¦  Views: 42848

I'm certain that the increasing incidence of violent crimes against persons in Chicago... "incidence" is a statistical claim and so can (and is) statistically disprovable across most categories of crime for Chicago, New York and other big cities--in general they are safer--have a LOWER in...

Re: VRE Speed & Dwell Times

 by Arlington ¦  Sat Nov 18, 2023 8:55 am ¦  Forum: DC - Maryland - Virginia Area Passenger Rail: MTA(MARC), VRE, WMATA(Metro) ¦  Topic: VRE Speed & Dwell Times ¦  Replies: 10 ¦  Views: 650

Where could we find the track class / max speeds between Crystal City and Manassas/Fredericksburg and are there any known projects to increase them? I mean, there's lots of 3rd/4th track in the works Crystal City to Fredericksburg but is any speed/dwell related? ANd then I haven't seen anything abou...

VRE Speed & Dwell Times

 by Arlington ¦  Thu Nov 16, 2023 4:02 pm ¦  Forum: DC - Maryland - Virginia Area Passenger Rail: MTA(MARC), VRE, WMATA(Metro) ¦  Topic: VRE Speed & Dwell Times ¦  Replies: 10 ¦  Views: 650

VRE Manassas Line is scheduled for 46m MSS to ALX 25m ALX to WAS 1h11m seems, well, slow. Amtrak NERs and LDs are scheduled for a median time of 32m MSS to ALX (or 36m if they stop at Burke) 23m ALX to WAS Here, Amtrak seems slow considering it runs express vs VRE's stops at Crystal City & L'Enf...

Re: Penn-Camden Connector Track

 by Arlington ¦  Mon Sep 25, 2023 8:24 pm ¦  Forum: DC - Maryland - Virginia Area Passenger Rail: MTA(MARC), VRE, WMATA(Metro) ¦  Topic: Penn-Camden Connector Track ¦  Replies: 26 ¦  Views: 9173

From Page 48 in: https://s3.amazonaws.com/mta-website-st ... P_MARC.pdf

Tried times to upload a picture and description clipped from above. Sorry that this site still hates decent pictures.

Re: Penn-Camden Connector Track

 by Arlington ¦  Mon Sep 25, 2023 7:50 pm ¦  Forum: DC - Maryland - Virginia Area Passenger Rail: MTA(MARC), VRE, WMATA(Metro) ¦  Topic: Penn-Camden Connector Track ¦  Replies: 26 ¦  Views: 9173

CRISI Grant: https://railroads.dot.gov/sites/fra.dot.gov/files/2023-09/FY%202022%20CRISI%20Program%20Selections%20-%20Project%20Summaries_PDFa.pdf Maryland -- Penn-Camden Connector Project (Up to $8,800,000) Maryland Department of Transportation - Maryland Transit Administration (MDOT MTA) The propo...

Re: Tampa Commuter Rail

 by Arlington ¦  Fri Aug 18, 2023 3:11 pm ¦  Forum: Florida Commuter and Light Rail: Metrorail, Sunrail, Tri-Rail and Proposals ¦  Topic: Tampa Commuter Rail ¦  Replies: 7 ¦  Views: 3023

I finally found a map of what Hillsborough County "acquired" (technically CSX abandoned an easement it had on county owned property) from CSX. Boy was I disappointed by the parcel bounded by dotted lines: https://media.bizj.us/view/img/11847246/screen-shot-2020-08-31-at-104537-am.png Sourc...

Re: Brightline Ridership and Revenue

 by Arlington ¦  Thu Jul 27, 2023 3:28 pm ¦  Forum: Brightline Trains LLC (formerly All Aboard Florida and Virgin) ¦  Topic: Brightline Ridership and Revenue ¦  Replies: 28 ¦  Views: 3340

I note that the last time we had a discussion about ridership vs forecast (that comes in site search) it was 2019, when GIlbert Norman supplied us wit these 5-month numbers. -----------2019-----2018---%TGE JAN-------73568----17783--313.7% FEB-------78707----24098--226.6% MAR-------91903----32899--17...

Re: 2022 Virginia Statewide Rail Plan

 by Arlington ¦  Tue Jun 27, 2023 12:49 pm ¦  Forum: DC - Maryland - Virginia Area Passenger Rail: MTA(MARC), VRE, WMATA(Metro) ¦  Topic: 2022 Virginia Statewide Rail Plan ¦  Replies: 3 ¦  Views: 958

CVS to WAS *** 6:10a 8:40a 176 8:55a 11:29a Bus 10:55a 2:00p 20 10:59a 1:47p 50 3:44p 6:44p 66 7:01p 9:28p Even with Cardinal (50 ) going daily, to me there remains an opportunity to have a NER (***) start at the old Lynchburg overnight siding at about 5:00am, get to CVS at 6:10 ish and arrive in WA...

Brightline Financial Performance

 by Arlington ¦  Thu Apr 27, 2023 4:22 pm ¦  Forum: Brightline Trains LLC (formerly All Aboard Florida and Virgin) ¦  Topic: Brightline Financial Performance ¦  Replies: 42 ¦  Views: 3683

Brightline claims - They made an operating profit in March - They carried 170,000 passengers (vs 70,000 last year) - They never intended to make a profit on the "south" segment alone https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z9XSDChMeLY&t=32s Maybe the influx of people (and traffic) to Miami has...

Re: What about Jacksonville?

 by Arlington ¦  Fri Dec 09, 2022 11:41 am ¦  Forum: Brightline Trains LLC (formerly All Aboard Florida and Virgin) ¦  Topic: Brightline Expansion - Jacksonville ¦  Replies: 53 ¦  Views: 51017

Completely reasonable long term end If the economics of Brightline prove to be sustainable, Phase 1: SW Florida MIA-FLL-WPB metropolis Phase 1.2: SW Florida infill stations / local/express overlay Phase 2: MCO via Cocoa & Deseret Ranch ----------------------------------------- We Are Here ------...

And this has what to do with trains??? 1) the people mover is a driverless train. Tearing it out is like any other service and ROW loss. 2) Trains operate, succeed, and fail in a context of trip demand and competitive and technological change : who operates (maybe computers), what powers (petroleum...

Flagler has a long way to go before running out of land, particularly because they are now redeveloping original sites from the 1920s through 1950s that had become blighted (and because they basically owned the land under every urban center on Floridas east coast, but from 1970 to 2010 had been deve...

Re: Ethan Allen Discussion, including Expansion (Burlington)

 by Arlington ¦  Sun Nov 06, 2022 10:28 am ¦  Forum: Amtrak ¦  Topic: Ethan Allen Discussion, including Expansion (Burlington) ¦  Replies: 372 ¦  Views: 129593

The high-gas-price environment has been very favorable to extensions in Virginia and Vermont

Re: Amtrak in Virginia updates (and other transportation)

 by Arlington ¦  Fri Sep 02, 2022 9:38 am ¦  Forum: Amtrak ¦  Topic: Amtrak in Virginia updates (and other transportation) ¦  Replies: 114 ¦  Views: 18162

Amtrak’s four state-supported routes in Virginia carried a record 110,256 passengers in July-- 28.9% increase over June, and 19.8% higher than its pre-pandemic ridership numbers from July 2019. Part of this is just high travel demand at a time of high gas prices, but I'm sure that we'll be able to t...

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