bostontrainguy wrote:
2) Amtrak taking control of the Metro North section and rebuilding it to include exclusive express tracks,
3) Raising speeds/straightening curves in several places (e.g., Hell Gate to New Rochelle)
It is very hard for me to imagine any scenario under which the State of Connecticut would surrender ownership of this line to Amtrak. The line is simply too vital to the functioning of the state's transportation system and economy in general. And as I've said either farther back in this thread or elsewhere on this forum, MN ridership between New Haven - New York outnumbers Amtrak ridership by something like 10x. You're honestly more likely to see an Inland Route bypass than this.
With regard to expansion-- going way back, the Harlem River Branch from New Rochelle to the Hell Gate was 6 tracks. Two were removed in the 30's, two more under Conrail, but the ROW is intact. From just beyond New Rochelle to Port Chester was also once 6-track territory- 4 New Haven, 2 New York, Westchester & Boston. There is still room for 6 tracks under the catenary structures, but the bridges have been removed, some overpasses have been filled in, and portions of the ROW have been taken for station platforms & parking.
From Port Chester to Devon Jct., the line was always 4 tracks, same as it is now, with maybe a couple exceptions for freight sidings in places. From Devon to West Haven, the fourth track was lifted in Conrail days.
So: you have 2 stretches where adding extra tracks is relatively simple-- the Hell Gate to New Rochelle and Devon to West Haven. You have 1 stretch where it is doable but will require relocating stations etc.- New Rochelle to Port Chester. For the rest, expansion is going to require extra land. And this isn't Indiana farmland, but expensive suburban real estate. Getting the ROW itself will be expensive and slow.